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Ken Trester, Managing Editor of
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Ken Trester's Weekly
Options Blog:
Predicting Market Tops & Bottoms

The technical charts can also provide
clues for when a stock is near or about to make a top. The secret, here,
is the stock’s volume.
When a stock price has been in a strong
uptrend and then suddenly shows extremely high volume—yet the stock’s
price shows no upward progress—there is a good probability the stock is
making a top or is near a top. If you own the stock or calls on the
stock, it is time to take profits.
My rule of thumb is that the volume
must be extremely high for two or three days in a row. Corinthian
Colleges (COCO) is a stock where I recommended a put option in the
summer of 2001, based on this phenomenon. Over the next month, COCO
dropped from 51 to 25.
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